Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.323503 0.432261 0.552130 0.691850 0.848267 1.016281 1.208796
2025-04-27 0.190650 0.334550 0.512717 0.738458 1.007906 1.312035 1.674830
2025-05-04 0.140197 0.302358 0.519724 0.809008 1.166264 1.579455 2.081633
2025-05-11 0.096554 0.264662 0.509744 0.851389 1.286118 1.799262 2.432388
2025-05-18 0.058665 0.220380 0.480503 0.860939 1.359223 1.958583 2.708150
2025-05-25 0.023000 0.158323 0.412819 0.809956 1.349228 2.012614 2.855295
2025-06-01 0.004425 0.107423 0.349153 0.755084 1.327161 2.046506 2.973836
2025-06-08 0.000034 0.077359 0.311881 0.732321 1.343024 2.124113 3.142280
2025-06-15 NaN 0.063817 0.302104 0.748965 1.410746 2.266129 3.388686
2025-06-22 NaN 0.046455 0.278316 0.740364 1.441594 2.359752 3.574520
2025-06-29 NaN 0.030289 0.249659 0.720031 1.453567 2.427429 3.726953
2025-07-06 NaN 0.027366 0.255669 0.758167 1.549005 2.603731 4.015064
2025-07-13 NaN 0.024043 0.260995 0.798172 1.652090 2.796552 4.332516
2025-07-20 NaN 0.022015 0.270198 0.845817 1.767722 3.007803 4.675736
2025-07-27 NaN 0.024374 0.295306 0.922214 1.925499 3.274549 5.088649
2025-08-03 NaN 0.022226 0.303259 0.967385 2.037447 3.480982 5.425921
2025-08-10 NaN 0.016092 0.292700 0.977654 2.097325 3.618173 5.675638
2025-08-17 NaN 0.005852 0.249750 0.923071 2.058172 3.622034 5.755349
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000684 0.207998 0.864223 2.008806 3.609640 5.812307
2025-08-31 NaN NaN 0.185111 0.839768 2.009902 3.663622 5.952451
2025-09-07 NaN NaN 0.182190 0.857651 2.077143 3.807841 6.208802
2025-09-14 NaN NaN 0.167828 0.848412 2.100606 3.891521 6.386672
2025-09-21 NaN NaN 0.149156 0.826554 2.102574 3.944775 6.524574